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Red33
596018.3
35459.3
433211.6
Blue45
693512.4
575414.6
510315.7
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3032010204050603345

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5960
#10
18.30.6
13.514.1
Auto5.5
Teleop9.6
End3.2
red by 2.6
15.71.0
13.214.2
Auto5.9
Teleop7.2
End2.6
Second
11.60.6
7.47.9
Auto4.3
Teleop3.9
End3.3
blue by 3.0
5754
#18
14.61.0
6.57.5
Auto2.9
Teleop9.4
End2.3
Third
3545
#28
9.30.6
7.17.7
Auto4.1
Teleop2.9
End2.3
blue by 3.1
6935
#12
12.41.6
10.812.4
Auto2.8
Teleop6.9
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
18%HAB Docking oddsMissed13%HAB Docking oddsMissed