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Red36
324014.3
787211.7
30285.4
Blue28
762111.1
575414.6
33458.7
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions232104060803628

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3240
#13
14.31.6
7.69.2
Auto5.1
Teleop6.0
End3.2
blue by 0.2
5754
#18
14.60.5
7.58.0
Auto2.9
Teleop9.4
End2.3
Second
11.70.9
8.49.4
Auto4.7
Teleop4.6
End2.3
red by 0.6
7621
#19
11.10.5
6.57.1
Auto4.1
Teleop4.6
End2.4
Third
3028
#26
5.41.6
5.97.5
Auto0.8
Teleop2.4
End2.2
blue by 3.3
3345
#29
8.70.9
6.06.9
Auto3.2
Teleop3.8
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
15%HAB Docking oddsMissed5%HAB Docking oddsMissed