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Red49
557220.3
421910.2
598615.7
Blue38
510315.7
787211.7
35459.3
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37342025304045504938

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.31.5
16.818.4
Auto4.0
Teleop13.1
End3.1
red by 4.6
15.70.2
15.115.3
Auto5.9
Teleop7.2
End2.6
Second
5986
#16
15.71.5
10.912.5
Auto6.1
Teleop6.3
End3.3
red by 4.0
11.70.2
9.49.6
Auto4.7
Teleop4.6
End2.3
Third
10.21.5
7.49.0
Auto4.4
Teleop3.8
End2.0
red by 0.9
3545
#28
9.30.3
7.67.9
Auto4.1
Teleop2.9
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
11%HAB Docking oddsMissed10%HAB Docking oddsMissed