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Red32
67544.0
510315.7
615514.6
Blue15
44120.0
6537.4
706310.6
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29190104050603215

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.70.3
15.315.6
Auto5.9
Teleop7.2
End2.6
red by 5.1
7063
#25
10.60.3
8.58.1
Auto4.6
Teleop2.6
End3.4
Second
14.60.3
11.111.4
Auto2.8
Teleop9.5
End2.3
red by 7.3
653
#35
7.40.3
6.66.3
Auto1.6
Teleop3.7
End2.1
Third
6754
#30
4.00.5
1.11.6
Auto0.6
Teleop2.3
End1.1
red by 4.0
4412
#36
0.00.3
3.12.8
Auto-0.5
Teleop0.2
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
5%HAB Docking oddsMissed8%HAB Docking oddsMissed