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Red34
787211.7
762111.1
45710.0
Blue24
70889.3
693512.4
30291.9
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2526152030353424

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
11.70.0
9.69.6
Auto4.7
Teleop4.6
End2.3
blue by 0.7
6935
#12
12.40.4
12.512.0
Auto2.8
Teleop6.9
End2.8
Second
7621
#19
11.10.0
7.17.1
Auto4.1
Teleop4.6
End2.4
red by 1.8
7088
#27
9.30.4
8.17.7
Auto2.5
Teleop4.0
End2.8
Third
457
#15
10.00.0
7.37.3
Auto3.0
Teleop4.0
End2.9
red by 8.1
3029
#31
1.90.4
4.54.1
Auto0.8
Teleop-0.4
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
6%HAB Docking oddsMissed12%HAB Docking oddsMissed