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Red14
324014.3
44120.0
348117.7
Blue24
589414.9
706310.6
615514.6
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4135102030506070801424

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3481
#11
17.72.7
15.612.9
Auto4.8
Teleop10.0
End3.0
red by 2.8
14.91.0
10.99.9
Auto2.6
Teleop8.7
End3.6
Second
3240
#13
14.32.7
11.48.6
Auto5.1
Teleop6.0
End3.2
blue by 0.3
14.60.6
10.710.1
Auto2.8
Teleop9.5
End2.3
Third
4412
#36DQ
0.02.7
11.48.7
Auto-0.5
Teleop0.2
End0.3
blue by 10.6
7063
#25
10.61.0
11.810.7
Auto4.6
Teleop2.6
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
27%HAB Docking oddsMissed12%HAB Docking oddsMissed