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Red48
589414.9
787211.7
348117.7
Blue20
35459.3
356110.8
29695.3
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions392601020305060704820

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3481
#11
17.71.1
14.215.3
Auto4.8
Teleop10.0
End3.0
red by 6.9
3561
#22
10.80.3
11.310.9
Auto4.2
Teleop5.0
End1.6
Second
14.91.0
13.614.6
Auto2.6
Teleop8.7
End3.6
red by 5.6
3545
#28
9.30.5
8.78.2
Auto4.1
Teleop2.9
End2.3
Third
11.70.8
8.99.6
Auto4.7
Teleop4.6
End2.3
red by 6.4
2969
#24
5.30.5
5.14.7
Auto2.5
Teleop0.9
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
8%HAB Docking oddsMissed5%HAB Docking oddsMissed