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Red40
433211.6
348117.7
6537.4
Blue35
598615.7
787211.7
67335.0
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36300102040506070804035

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3481
#11
17.70.3
15.315.6
Auto4.8
Teleop10.0
End3.0
red by 2.1
5986
#16
15.70.5
15.115.6
Auto6.1
Teleop6.3
End3.3
Second
11.60.3
11.011.2
Auto4.3
Teleop3.9
End3.3
blue by 0.1
11.70.4
9.610.1
Auto4.7
Teleop4.6
End2.3
Third
653
#35
7.40.3
7.47.7
Auto1.6
Teleop3.7
End2.1
red by 2.3
6733
#14
5.00.5
3.94.4
Auto1.4
Teleop2.6
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
13%HAB Docking oddsMissed7%HAB Docking oddsMissed