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Red15
762111.1
30291.9
6537.4
Blue33
35459.3
693512.4
33458.7
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions213201040501533

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7621
#19
11.10.3
9.59.2
Auto4.1
Teleop4.6
End2.4
blue by 1.3
6935
#12
12.40.0
12.512.5
Auto2.8
Teleop6.9
End2.8
Second
653
#35
7.40.3
7.77.4
Auto1.6
Teleop3.7
End2.1
blue by 2.0
3545
#28
9.30.0
9.39.3
Auto4.1
Teleop2.9
End2.3
Third
3029
#31
1.90.3
2.21.9
Auto0.8
Teleop-0.4
End1.6
blue by 6.8
3345
#29
8.70.0
8.38.3
Auto3.2
Teleop3.8
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
4%HAB Docking oddsMissed8%HAB Docking oddsMissed