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Red54
615514.6
510315.7
296611.9
Blue61
348117.7
787211.7
575414.6
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions44433035405055605461

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.70.3
15.415.7
Auto5.9
Teleop7.2
End2.6
blue by 2.0
3481
#11
17.70.4
16.717.1
Auto4.8
Teleop10.0
End3.0
Second
14.60.3
14.314.6
Auto2.8
Teleop9.5
End2.3
red by 0.1
5754
#18
14.60.4
13.614.0
Auto2.9
Teleop9.4
End2.3
Third
2966
#20
11.90.3
11.611.9
Auto4.1
Teleop4.2
End3.6
red by 0.2
11.70.4
10.811.1
Auto4.7
Teleop4.6
End2.3