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Red70
97133.5
347829.4
473812.4
Blue59
170021.7
593324.0
406814.6
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions816440601001207059

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
971
#2
33.50.1
34.033.8
Auto5.9
Teleop18.3
End9.3
red by 9.5
24.00.0
24.424.3
Auto6.0
Teleop9.6
End8.5
Second
29.40.1
29.829.7
Auto3.1
Teleop18.1
End8.2
red by 7.7
1700
#11
21.70.0
21.721.7
Auto5.2
Teleop12.5
End4.0
Third
4738
#23
12.40.1
12.912.7
Auto4.4
Teleop7.3
End0.8
blue by 2.2
4068
#17
14.60.0
15.014.9
Auto3.5
Teleop7.9
End3.3