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Red52
182816.5
670615.6
170021.7
Blue30
592412.9
340512.0
322510.3
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions55341020304050607080905230

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1700
#11
21.70.0
22.022.0
Auto5.2
Teleop12.5
End4.0
red by 8.8
5924
#28
12.90.1
10.09.8
Auto4.0
Teleop5.8
End3.1
Second
1828
#31
16.50.0
16.016.0
Auto4.3
Teleop8.9
End3.3
red by 4.4
3405
#26
12.00.2
12.011.8
Auto4.7
Teleop4.7
End2.6
Third
6706
#34
15.60.0
14.014.0
Auto3.9
Teleop10.5
End1.2
red by 5.3
3225
#45
10.30.2
10.19.9
Auto5.3
Teleop2.9
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
15%HAB Docking oddsMissed18%HAB Docking oddsMissed