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Red55
43489.6
97133.5
51595.1
Blue73
459816.1
133922.9
494426.2
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions57622040801005573

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
971
#2
33.50.2
35.135.0
Auto5.9
Teleop18.3
End9.3
red by 7.3
4944
#13
26.20.3
25.125.4
Auto4.4
Teleop18.6
End3.2
Second
4348
#41
9.60.3
10.410.2
Auto4.6
Teleop2.4
End2.6
blue by 13.2
22.90.3
19.920.2
Auto5.5
Teleop11.2
End6.3
Third
5159
#49
5.10.3
8.78.5
Auto2.7
Teleop1.6
End0.8
blue by 11.0
16.10.5
13.413.9
Auto4.7
Teleop7.5
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
13%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
79%HAB Docking oddsMissed16%HAB Docking oddsEarned