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Red31
359821.7
350111.4
322510.3
Blue87
438815.1
97133.5
30068.4
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions436420801003187

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.70.9
17.716.8
Auto4.4
Teleop9.5
End7.8
blue by 11.8
971
#2
33.50.5
33.834.3
Auto5.9
Teleop18.3
End9.3
Second
3501
#21
11.40.7
10.910.3
Auto3.7
Teleop5.4
End2.3
blue by 3.7
4388
#12
15.10.5
13.814.3
Auto2.9
Teleop7.9
End4.3
Third
3225
#45
10.31.1
12.311.2
Auto5.3
Teleop2.9
End2.2
red by 1.9
3006
#43
8.40.7
12.813.5
Auto4.7
Teleop1.0
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed15%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
43%HAB Docking oddsMissed85%HAB Docking oddsEarned