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Red40
359821.7
32396.3
325521.2
Blue59
670615.6
743611.2
347829.4
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions525902040801004059

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.70.8
22.221.3
Auto4.4
Teleop9.5
End7.8
blue by 7.7
29.40.2
28.628.8
Auto3.1
Teleop18.1
End8.2
Second
21.20.8
18.517.6
Auto3.8
Teleop9.7
End7.7
red by 5.6
6706
#34
15.60.4
16.316.7
Auto3.9
Teleop10.5
End1.2
Third
3239
#48
6.31.4
8.97.5
Auto4.7
Teleop1.8
End-0.3
blue by 5.0
7436
#39
11.20.4
10.611.0
Auto4.8
Teleop3.8
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
86%HAB Docking oddsMissed40%HAB Docking oddsEarned