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Red70
593324.0
592412.9
348020.4
Blue20
51595.1
30068.4
54308.4
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions56320102040506070807020

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.00.9
21.922.8
Auto6.0
Teleop9.6
End8.5
red by 15.6
3006
#43
8.41.4
10.69.2
Auto4.7
Teleop1.0
End2.8
Second
3480
#10
20.40.9
19.720.6
Auto3.8
Teleop13.4
End3.2
red by 12.0
5430
#33
8.40.9
11.010.1
Auto2.0
Teleop3.6
End2.9
Third
5924
#28
12.90.9
11.512.5
Auto4.0
Teleop5.8
End3.1
red by 7.7
5159
#49
5.11.4
8.77.4
Auto2.7
Teleop1.6
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
36%HAB Docking oddsEarned11%HAB Docking oddsMissed