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Red49
170021.7
473812.4
324514.7
Blue37
43489.6
670615.6
328811.4
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions504320306070804937

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1700
#11
21.70.1
22.222.3
Auto5.2
Teleop12.5
End4.0
red by 6.1
6706
#34
15.60.6
16.716.1
Auto3.9
Teleop10.5
End1.2
Second
3245
#30
14.70.1
13.113.2
Auto5.3
Teleop6.2
End3.2
red by 3.3
3288
#47
11.40.4
12.712.2
Auto4.9
Teleop4.1
End2.4
Third
4738
#23
12.40.1
12.412.5
Auto4.4
Teleop7.3
End0.8
red by 2.8
4348
#41
9.60.7
10.910.2
Auto4.6
Teleop2.4
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
16%HAB Docking oddsMissed8%HAB Docking oddsMissed