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Red60
320018.3
494426.2
350111.4
Blue41
79059.7
763416.0
328811.4
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58401020305070806041

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4944
#13
26.20.4
24.925.2
Auto4.4
Teleop18.6
End3.2
red by 10.2
7634
#44
16.00.3
15.215.6
Auto5.3
Teleop8.1
End2.6
Second
3200
#46
18.30.4
18.518.8
Auto5.4
Teleop9.2
End3.6
red by 6.9
3288
#47
11.40.2
12.212.5
Auto4.9
Teleop4.1
End2.4
Third
3501
#21
11.40.4
11.111.5
Auto3.7
Teleop5.4
End2.3
red by 1.8
7905
#40
9.70.3
10.210.5
Auto4.5
Teleop3.8
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
23%HAB Docking oddsMissed8%HAB Docking oddsMissed