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Red54
670615.6
458510.2
359821.7
Blue21
597410.6
304512.5
79098.2
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50350102030406070805421

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.70.0
22.222.3
Auto4.4
Teleop9.5
End7.8
red by 9.2
3045
#37
12.50.8
12.711.9
Auto4.5
Teleop3.9
End4.1
Second
6706
#34
15.60.1
16.116.1
Auto3.9
Teleop10.5
End1.2
red by 5.0
5974
#27
10.61.2
10.39.1
Auto2.9
Teleop4.2
End3.5
Third
4585
#32
10.20.0
9.09.1
Auto2.2
Teleop5.0
End3.0
red by 2.0
7909
#38
8.21.2
10.18.9
Auto2.0
Teleop4.4
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
58%HAB Docking oddsMissed26%HAB Docking oddsMissed