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Red50
304512.5
593324.0
458510.2
Blue46
29939.1
170021.7
320018.3
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4854204060801005046

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.00.3
23.724.0
Auto6.0
Teleop9.6
End8.5
red by 2.4
1700
#11
21.70.7
22.121.4
Auto5.2
Teleop12.5
End4.0
Second
3045
#37
12.50.3
11.912.2
Auto4.5
Teleop3.9
End4.1
blue by 5.7
3200
#46
18.30.7
19.018.3
Auto5.4
Teleop9.2
End3.6
Third
4585
#32
10.20.3
9.910.2
Auto2.2
Teleop5.0
End3.0
red by 1.2
2993
#20
9.11.0
10.09.1
Auto5.1
Teleop3.4
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
64%HAB Docking oddsEarned9%HAB Docking oddsMissed