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Red49
374822.2
141323.3
59548.9
Blue67
54019.3
450519.0
580416.2
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50493540455560654967

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1413
#15
23.30.2
21.421.6
Auto4.6
Teleop13.7
End5.1
red by 4.0
540
#21
19.31.1
14.415.5
Auto4.6
Teleop11.9
End2.8
Second
22.20.2
17.617.8
Auto5.2
Teleop11.9
End5.1
red by 3.2
4505
#20
19.01.1
17.018.1
Auto5.6
Teleop10.1
End3.2
Third
5954
#33
8.90.2
7.67.7
Auto4.3
Teleop2.7
End1.9
blue by 7.3
5804
#27
16.21.1
15.817.0
Auto5.4
Teleop8.9
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
27%HAB Docking oddsMissed11%HAB Docking oddsMissed