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Red54
289017.3
53919.2
141323.3
Blue63
374822.2
619415.6
38426.5
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions535348505254565860625463

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1413
#15
23.30.3
21.621.8
Auto4.6
Teleop13.7
End5.1
blue by 3.2
384
#4
26.50.9
20.821.7
Auto5.2
Teleop11.9
End9.4
Second
539
#14
19.20.3
12.312.5
Auto4.9
Teleop9.2
End5.2
blue by 2.9
22.20.9
17.818.6
Auto5.2
Teleop11.9
End5.1
Third
2890
#30
17.30.3
16.316.6
Auto5.4
Teleop8.1
End3.7
red by 1.6
6194
#18
15.60.9
11.412.3
Auto3.7
Teleop9.2
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
46%HAB Docking oddsMissed45%HAB Docking oddsEarned