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Red49
374822.2
325818.6
289017.3
Blue53
580416.2
38426.5
313613.1
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions474902060801001201401604953

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.20.3
17.317.6
Auto5.2
Teleop11.9
End5.1
blue by 4.3
384
#4
26.50.5
19.419.9
Auto5.2
Teleop11.9
End9.4
Second
3258
#22
18.60.3
12.512.8
Auto4.6
Teleop10.5
End3.4
red by 2.4
5804
#27
16.20.4
15.415.8
Auto5.4
Teleop8.9
End2.0
Third
2890
#30
17.30.3
14.715.1
Auto5.4
Teleop8.1
End3.7
red by 4.1
3136
#19
13.10.4
11.912.3
Auto4.8
Teleop5.4
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
35%HAB Docking oddsMissed43%HAB Docking oddsMissed