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Red44
788618.9
159811.2
59548.9
Blue69
141323.3
38426.5
680224.9
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions39702060801004469

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7886
#25
18.90.5
18.318.8
Auto5.4
Teleop10.5
End3.0
blue by 7.5
384
#4
26.50.2
21.721.5
Auto5.2
Teleop11.9
End9.4
Second
1598
#32
11.20.5
10.711.2
Auto4.6
Teleop4.9
End1.7
blue by 13.7
24.90.2
22.722.5
Auto4.7
Teleop13.6
End6.6
Third
5954
#33
8.90.5
7.78.2
Auto4.3
Teleop2.7
End1.9
blue by 14.4
1413
#15
23.30.2
21.821.6
Auto4.6
Teleop13.7
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
10%HAB Docking oddsMissed84%HAB Docking oddsEarned