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Red61
126227.6
141323.3
32749.8
Blue60
289017.3
595013.5
97725.8
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5353354045506065706160

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.60.7
23.624.3
Auto4.0
Teleop17.9
End5.7
red by 1.7
977
#12
25.80.6
22.623.2
Auto5.8
Teleop14.6
End5.4
Second
1413
#15
23.30.7
21.622.3
Auto4.6
Teleop13.7
End5.1
red by 6.0
2890
#30
17.30.6
16.617.3
Auto5.4
Teleop8.1
End3.7
Third
3274
#13
9.80.7
5.05.8
Auto3.2
Teleop2.8
End3.8
blue by 3.8
5950
#26
13.50.6
11.211.8
Auto3.8
Teleop6.8
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
31%HAB Docking oddsEarned24%HAB Docking oddsMissed