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Red50
345518.0
446613.0
54019.3
Blue60
788618.9
152216.9
206815.1
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5149102030406070805060

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
540
#21
19.30.1
17.117.0
Auto4.6
Teleop11.9
End2.8
red by 0.4
7886
#25
18.90.5
18.819.3
Auto5.4
Teleop10.5
End3.0
Second
3455
#17
18.00.1
18.718.6
Auto4.3
Teleop11.4
End2.2
red by 1.0
16.90.5
11.812.3
Auto3.8
Teleop8.7
End4.4
Third
4466
#23
13.00.1
12.912.8
Auto4.5
Teleop4.2
End4.2
blue by 2.2
2068
#31
15.10.5
16.216.7
Auto5.3
Teleop7.0
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
10%HAB Docking oddsMissed15%HAB Docking oddsMissed