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Red60
788618.9
345518.0
97725.8
Blue95
680224.9
374822.2
40123.4
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions65713040506080901001106095

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
977
#12
25.80.1
25.425.3
Auto5.8
Teleop14.6
End5.4
red by 0.9
24.91.8
24.926.7
Auto4.7
Teleop13.6
End6.6
Second
7886
#25
18.90.1
19.219.0
Auto5.4
Teleop10.5
End3.0
blue by 4.5
401
#7
23.41.8
20.822.6
Auto4.3
Teleop11.3
End7.8
Third
3455
#17
18.00.1
17.417.3
Auto4.3
Teleop11.4
End2.2
blue by 4.2
22.21.8
22.023.8
Auto5.2
Teleop11.9
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
24%HAB Docking oddsMissed94%HAB Docking oddsEarned