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Red56
126227.6
595013.5
631213.9
Blue65
572423.1
619415.6
450519.0
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions56573040507080905665

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.60.2
26.726.9
Auto4.0
Teleop17.9
End5.7
red by 4.4
5724
#11
23.10.7
22.923.6
Auto5.8
Teleop12.0
End5.4
Second
6312
#24
13.90.2
12.812.9
Auto4.3
Teleop6.5
End3.1
blue by 5.1
4505
#20
19.00.7
18.319.0
Auto5.6
Teleop10.1
End3.2
Third
5950
#26
13.50.2
13.814.0
Auto3.8
Teleop6.8
End2.9
blue by 2.1
6194
#18
15.60.7
13.013.7
Auto3.7
Teleop9.2
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
28%HAB Docking oddsMissed30%HAB Docking oddsMissed