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Red48
40123.4
61925.8
206815.1
Blue63
595013.5
38426.5
44927.0
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions605130407080904863

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
619
#16
25.80.8
21.720.9
Auto6.0
Teleop15.1
End4.7
blue by 1.3
449
#2
27.01.0
19.020.0
Auto4.4
Teleop15.1
End7.5
Second
401
#7
23.40.8
17.917.2
Auto4.3
Teleop11.3
End7.8
blue by 3.0
384
#4
26.51.0
19.920.8
Auto5.2
Teleop11.9
End9.4
Third
2068
#31
15.10.8
17.116.3
Auto5.3
Teleop7.0
End2.9
red by 1.6
5950
#26
13.51.0
9.710.6
Auto3.8
Teleop6.8
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
63%HAB Docking oddsMissed28%HAB Docking oddsEarned