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Red40
19154.9
97719.9
99985.8
Blue35
12216.9
595011.3
99972.5
57%Model gave it43%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions40371020305060704035

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
977
#7
19.90.2
24.024.2
Auto4.7
Teleop11.7
End3.4
red by 3.0
122
#6
16.90.0
16.516.5
Auto4.5
Teleop9.8
End2.6
Second
9998
#11
5.80.2
7.17.3
Auto3.6
Teleop0.9
End1.4
blue by 5.5
5950
#10
11.30.0
11.611.6
Auto2.4
Teleop5.6
End3.3
Third
1915
#14
4.90.2
6.66.7
Auto1.9
Teleop1.4
End1.6
red by 2.4
9997
#15
2.50.0
6.96.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop2.5
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
14%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
17%HAB Docking oddsMissed12%HAB Docking oddsMissed