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Red48
264014.5
572419.4
99999.6
Blue51
680220.5
99985.8
40129.2
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4666204060801001204851

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.40.1
20.020.1
Auto4.2
Teleop11.2
End4.0
blue by 9.8
401
#1
29.20.8
32.331.5
Auto4.4
Teleop18.2
End6.6
Second
2640
#16
14.50.1
13.814.0
Auto4.1
Teleop5.0
End5.4
blue by 6.0
20.50.8
23.422.6
Auto4.5
Teleop9.6
End6.4
Third
9.60.1
9.39.5
Auto2.9
Teleop4.8
End2.0
red by 3.9
9998
#11
5.80.8
7.26.4
Auto3.6
Teleop0.9
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsEarned29%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
43%HAB Docking oddsMissed84%HAB Docking oddsMissed