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Red45
162914.7
99999.6
595011.3
Blue43
141319.5
126220.3
572419.4
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4671204060801004543

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1629
#12
14.70.8
25.624.8
Auto2.6
Teleop8.8
End3.3
blue by 5.5
20.31.6
23.722.1
Auto2.9
Teleop12.6
End4.8
Second
5950
#10
11.30.8
12.311.5
Auto2.4
Teleop5.6
End3.3
blue by 8.2
19.51.6
23.922.3
Auto4.5
Teleop12.3
End2.7
Third
9.60.8
6.15.3
Auto2.9
Teleop4.8
End2.0
blue by 9.8
19.41.6
19.217.7
Auto4.2
Teleop11.2
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed4%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
39%HAB Docking oddsMissed40%HAB Docking oddsMissed