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Red57
210618.2
159919.7
580415.4
Blue60
554616.4
299821.8
179314.3
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions55543040506070805760

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.70.1
19.219.3
Auto4.0
Teleop8.4
End7.4
blue by 2.1
21.80.1
21.221.3
Auto5.3
Teleop12.7
End3.8
Second
18.20.1
17.717.8
Auto4.3
Teleop7.9
End6.0
red by 1.8
5546
#14
16.40.1
15.915.9
Auto3.9
Teleop9.5
End3.0
Third
5804
#24
15.40.1
14.915.1
Auto4.9
Teleop7.4
End3.1
red by 1.1
1793
#15
14.30.1
13.813.9
Auto3.9
Teleop8.9
End1.5