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Red50
325812.5
38419.4
161019.3
Blue47
688213.4
159919.7
313615.4
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions463802060805047

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
384
#3
19.40.7
15.915.2
Auto4.9
Teleop8.2
End6.3
blue by 0.3
19.71.2
14.715.9
Auto4.0
Teleop8.4
End7.4
Second
19.30.7
15.514.8
Auto5.5
Teleop11.0
End2.8
red by 4.0
3136
#18
15.41.2
11.512.8
Auto4.6
Teleop7.5
End3.2
Third
3258
#22
12.50.7
12.311.5
Auto4.5
Teleop6.6
End1.4
blue by 1.0
6882
#20
13.41.2
9.610.9
Auto3.6
Teleop5.8
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
23%HAB Docking oddsMissed22%HAB Docking oddsEarned