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Red39
6175.6
97718.5
126223.1
Blue32
59509.6
688213.4
42218.7
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4037203050603932

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.10.2
16.416.2
Auto3.6
Teleop14.7
End4.9
red by 4.4
422
#10
18.70.4
16.215.8
Auto4.8
Teleop10.8
End3.1
Second
977
#4
18.50.2
12.111.9
Auto5.8
Teleop8.9
End3.8
red by 5.1
6882
#20
13.40.4
10.910.5
Auto3.6
Teleop5.8
End4.1
Third
617
#29
5.60.2
9.18.9
Auto1.7
Teleop3.7
End0.3
blue by 3.9
5950
#34
9.60.4
8.27.8
Auto2.4
Teleop5.0
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
17%HAB Docking oddsMissed25%HAB Docking oddsMissed