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Red40
74299.7
108614.7
126223.1
Blue57
61898.9
554616.4
34634.0
25%Model gave it75%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3948203060704057

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.10.3
16.216.5
Auto3.6
Teleop14.7
End4.9
blue by 10.9
346
#1
34.01.3
20.321.6
Auto5.1
Teleop18.8
End10.0
Second
1086
#31
14.70.3
12.512.8
Auto3.6
Teleop6.7
End4.4
blue by 1.7
5546
#14
16.41.3
14.115.4
Auto3.9
Teleop9.5
End3.0
Third
7429
#25
9.70.3
8.58.8
Auto3.5
Teleop3.7
End2.5
red by 0.7
6189
#30
8.91.3
10.712.0
Auto2.3
Teleop3.5
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
24%HAB Docking oddsMissed32%HAB Docking oddsEarned