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Red43
580415.4
335915.0
161019.3
Blue36
108614.7
12216.4
325812.5
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions403802060804336

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.30.6
17.317.9
Auto5.5
Teleop11.0
End2.8
red by 2.9
122
#17
16.40.0
13.013.0
Auto4.0
Teleop8.4
End4.0
Second
5804
#24
15.40.6
10.310.9
Auto4.9
Teleop7.4
End3.1
red by 0.8
1086
#31
14.70.0
13.113.1
Auto3.6
Teleop6.7
End4.4
Third
3359
#33
15.00.6
9.910.5
Auto4.8
Teleop6.2
End4.0
red by 2.5
3258
#22
12.50.0
9.79.7
Auto4.5
Teleop6.6
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
17%HAB Docking oddsMissed16%HAB Docking oddsMissed