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Red50
59509.6
161019.3
336115.6
Blue23
633415.2
6175.6
74299.7
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions413210205060705023

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.30.9
17.918.9
Auto5.5
Teleop11.0
End2.8
red by 4.1
6334
#19
15.20.8
13.512.7
Auto4.7
Teleop7.1
End3.4
Second
3361
#16
15.60.9
8.99.9
Auto5.0
Teleop5.8
End4.8
red by 5.9
7429
#25
9.70.8
8.98.1
Auto3.5
Teleop3.7
End2.5
Third
5950
#34
9.60.9
11.712.6
Auto2.4
Teleop5.0
End2.1
red by 3.9
617
#29
5.60.8
7.87.0
Auto1.7
Teleop3.7
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
18%HAB Docking oddsMissed21%HAB Docking oddsMissed