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Red39
325812.5
61898.9
159810.7
Blue46
74299.7
42218.7
54014.7
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29411020503946

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3258
#22
12.51.1
10.411.5
Auto4.5
Teleop6.6
End1.4
blue by 6.2
422
#10
18.70.7
16.717.4
Auto4.8
Teleop10.8
End3.1
Second
1598
#32
10.71.1
9.010.2
Auto4.2
Teleop5.1
End1.4
blue by 4.0
540
#27
14.70.7
12.713.4
Auto2.8
Teleop10.1
End1.9
Third
6189
#30
8.91.2
7.89.0
Auto2.3
Teleop3.5
End3.1
blue by 0.7
7429
#25
9.70.7
9.19.8
Auto3.5
Teleop3.7
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
22%HAB Docking oddsMissed19%HAB Docking oddsMissed