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Red48
161019.3
680221.8
42868.1
Blue41
38419.4
74299.7
313615.4
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5147204060804841

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.80.0
20.720.7
Auto3.5
Teleop12.2
End6.1
red by 2.4
384
#3
19.40.3
18.217.9
Auto4.9
Teleop8.2
End6.3
Second
19.30.0
20.220.2
Auto5.5
Teleop11.0
End2.8
red by 4.0
3136
#18
15.40.3
16.115.8
Auto4.6
Teleop7.5
End3.2
Third
4286
#26
8.10.0
7.57.5
Auto4.3
Teleop3.3
End0.6
blue by 1.5
7429
#25
9.70.3
9.89.6
Auto3.5
Teleop3.7
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
42%HAB Docking oddsMissed43%HAB Docking oddsEarned