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Red58
580415.4
53912.1
159919.7
Blue48
299821.8
6175.6
54014.7
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4442253035505560655848

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.71.1
17.618.7
Auto4.0
Teleop8.4
End7.4
blue by 2.1
21.80.7
20.020.7
Auto5.3
Teleop12.7
End3.8
Second
5804
#24
15.41.1
13.214.3
Auto4.9
Teleop7.4
End3.1
red by 0.7
540
#27
14.70.7
13.614.3
Auto2.8
Teleop10.1
End1.9
Third
539
#21
12.11.1
10.811.9
Auto3.8
Teleop4.4
End3.8
red by 6.5
617
#29
5.60.7
6.16.8
Auto1.7
Teleop3.7
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
33%HAB Docking oddsEarned13%HAB Docking oddsMissed