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Red28
54014.7
379321.6
141818.7
Blue40
218610.3
62014.2
623916.2
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6043020801002840

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.60.6
22.121.4
Auto5.8
Teleop8.4
End7.3
red by 5.4
6239
#16
16.20.1
16.216.1
Auto4.7
Teleop8.9
End2.7
Second
18.70.6
19.218.5
Auto2.2
Teleop13.5
End3.0
red by 4.6
620
#14
14.20.1
14.114.0
Auto4.1
Teleop6.7
End3.4
Third
540
#18
14.70.6
15.715.0
Auto3.9
Teleop8.4
End2.5
red by 4.4
2186
#26
10.30.1
10.210.1
Auto3.5
Teleop4.0
End2.8