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Red38
533818.5
68828.5
188520.9
Blue33
62014.2
11239.6
218610.3
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6342020801003833

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1885
#10
20.91.8
23.421.6
Auto3.9
Teleop14.8
End2.2
red by 6.7
620
#14
14.20.7
16.816.1
Auto4.1
Teleop6.7
End3.4
Second
5338
#17
18.51.8
23.221.4
Auto3.6
Teleop5.8
End9.1
red by 8.2
2186
#26
10.30.7
9.18.5
Auto3.5
Teleop4.0
End2.8
Third
6882
#29
8.51.8
12.710.9
Auto4.0
Teleop3.0
End1.5
blue by 1.1
1123
#28
9.60.7
14.313.6
Auto4.7
Teleop0.5
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
9%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
84%HAB Docking oddsMissed44%HAB Docking oddsMissed