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Red48
51159.2
108614.5
236319.4
Blue53
188520.9
12213.5
253711.9
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50492030406070804853

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2363
#12
19.40.4
22.021.6
Auto5.5
Teleop8.3
End5.6
blue by 1.5
1885
#10
20.90.6
19.919.3
Auto3.9
Teleop14.8
End2.2
Second
1086
#32
14.50.4
15.214.8
Auto4.4
Teleop5.3
End4.9
red by 1.0
122
#23
13.50.6
14.113.5
Auto4.1
Teleop8.0
End1.5
Third
5115
#15
9.20.4
10.610.2
Auto3.1
Teleop3.5
End2.6
blue by 2.6
2537
#20
11.90.6
12.211.6
Auto4.3
Teleop5.4
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed6%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
56%HAB Docking oddsEarned9%HAB Docking oddsMissed