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Red50
623916.2
533818.5
108614.5
Blue51
379321.6
19154.0
583010.4
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6143020801005051

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5338
#17
18.50.5
21.420.9
Auto3.6
Teleop5.8
End9.1
blue by 3.1
21.60.7
23.324.0
Auto5.8
Teleop8.4
End7.3
Second
6239
#16
16.20.5
17.517.0
Auto4.7
Teleop8.9
End2.7
red by 5.9
10.40.7
12.713.4
Auto3.0
Teleop1.7
End5.6
Third
1086
#32
14.50.5
18.618.1
Auto4.4
Teleop5.3
End4.9
red by 10.5
1915
#27
4.00.7
4.45.1
Auto2.0
Teleop0.3
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
84%HAB Docking oddsEarned62%HAB Docking oddsEarned