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Red37
189512.6
62014.2
141818.7
Blue25
108614.5
206811.2
572417.4
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions57532030407080903725

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.71.1
21.420.2
Auto2.2
Teleop13.5
End3.0
red by 1.3
5724
#13
17.41.7
18.917.2
Auto4.2
Teleop9.5
End3.7
Second
620
#14
14.21.1
16.115.0
Auto4.1
Teleop6.7
End3.4
blue by 0.3
1086
#32
14.51.7
18.116.4
Auto4.4
Teleop5.3
End4.9
Third
1895
#25
12.61.1
16.515.4
Auto3.1
Teleop6.2
End3.3
red by 1.4
2068
#31
11.21.7
13.311.6
Auto3.8
Teleop4.8
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
6%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
20%HAB Docking oddsMissed42%HAB Docking oddsMissed