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Red74
236321.4
61224.8
173115.7
Blue95
141821.8
61426.7
654314.8
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions636450607080907495

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
612
#1
24.80.3
24.124.4
Auto5.5
Teleop10.8
End8.5
blue by 2.0
614
#2
26.70.6
25.926.5
Auto5.3
Teleop14.0
End7.4
Second
21.40.3
20.721.0
Auto4.9
Teleop11.0
End5.4
blue by 0.4
21.80.6
20.921.5
Auto3.4
Teleop14.2
End4.2
Third
1731
#32
15.70.2
15.115.3
Auto5.0
Teleop10.3
End0.4
red by 0.9
6543
#31
14.80.6
13.914.5
Auto2.8
Teleop8.7
End3.3