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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions39392530354550552533

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1629
#25
17.00.9
17.116.2
Auto4.3
Teleop10.0
End2.8
blue by 7.8
612
#1
24.81.1
18.016.9
Auto5.5
Teleop10.8
End8.5
Second
6543
#31
14.80.9
8.87.9
Auto2.8
Teleop8.7
End3.3
red by 0.1
611
#30
14.71.1
9.58.3
Auto3.5
Teleop9.6
End1.6
Third
2819
#37
5.80.9
7.36.4
Auto2.0
Teleop1.5
End2.3
blue by 4.4
6584
#26
10.21.1
12.811.6
Auto3.0
Teleop4.7
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
29%HAB Docking oddsMissed35%HAB Docking oddsMissed