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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions364420304050602446

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2421
#38
12.21.7
12.410.7
Auto2.8
Teleop7.5
End2.0
blue by 6.1
4242
#10
18.40.5
13.714.2
Auto5.8
Teleop7.4
End5.1
Second
620
#36
9.41.7
8.36.5
Auto3.4
Teleop4.5
End1.5
blue by 7.6
1629
#25
17.00.5
17.217.7
Auto4.3
Teleop10.0
End2.8
Third
5549
#29
9.31.7
12.911.2
Auto2.7
Teleop3.8
End2.8
blue by 3.8
623
#23
13.10.5
10.511.0
Auto3.7
Teleop7.1
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
11%HAB Docking oddsMissed26%HAB Docking oddsMissed