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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2948010204060702064

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3455
#14
16.30.8
14.313.5
Auto4.2
Teleop9.6
End2.5
blue by 8.5
612
#1
24.81.7
18.620.4
Auto5.5
Teleop10.8
End8.5
Second
620
#36
9.40.8
7.66.8
Auto3.4
Teleop4.5
End1.5
blue by 8.3
316
#21
17.71.7
16.418.2
Auto5.3
Teleop9.2
End3.2
Third
3274
#35
5.00.8
5.34.5
Auto2.4
Teleop0.6
End2.1
blue by 4.2
5549
#29
9.31.7
10.312.0
Auto2.7
Teleop3.8
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
15%HAB Docking oddsMissed38%HAB Docking oddsEarned